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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Plymouth vs Exeter

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst17%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthExeter
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 20% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Exeter win (16.6%)Dubbele Kans1X83.4%1.20
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.71 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win63%1.591.4265.5%
Gelijkspel20%5.004.7519.6%
Exeter win17%5.886.2514.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.74

Thuis share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Exeter0.97

Uit share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Exeter

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
0.97
PlymouthExeter
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Exeter signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Exeter FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 20%,Exeter gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven