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ENG Anglia - Cupa EFL · Meci ·

Plymouth vs Exeter

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde63%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde63% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthExeter
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
63% / 20% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Exeter win (16.6%)Șansă dublă1X83.4%1.20
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
2.71 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win63%1.591.4265.5%
Egal20%5.004.7519.6%
Exeter win17%5.886.2514.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.74

Gazde share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Exeter0.97

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Exeter

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
0.97
PlymouthExeter
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Exeter signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Exeter FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth câștig 63%,Egal 20%,Exeter câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste