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ENG England EFL Cup · Kamp ·

Plymouth vs Exeter

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier63%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier17%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier63% selection probability
Projected score2–1PlymouthExeter
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
63% / 20% / 17%KampresultatHjemmeseier63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Exeter win (16.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X83.4%1.20
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Plymouth win63%1.591.4265.5%
Uavgjort20%5.004.7519.6%
Exeter win17%5.886.2514.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Plymouth1.74

Hjemme share of expected goals 64.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Exeter0.97

Borte share of expected goals 35.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Plymouth

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Exeter

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
0.97
PlymouthExeter
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Plymouth signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Exeter signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Plymouth vs Exeter FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Plymouth vunnet 63%,Uavgjort 20%,Exeter vunnet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over