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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score3–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 23% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Dubbele Kans1277.3%1.29
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCroydon FC winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win48%2.081.9147%+1.0 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sturt Lions win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.53

Thuis share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.87Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

Sturt Lions1.34

Uit share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.53
Expected goals
1.34
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 23%,Sturt Lions gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven