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AUS Australien - South Australia Premier League · Match ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score3–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över74% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 23% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbelchans1277.4%1.29
Över 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Över74%1.35
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Båda lagen gör målJa68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSturt Lions winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win49%2.041.8548.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Sturt Lions win28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.53

Hemma share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.87Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 74% · Under 26%

Sturt Lions1.34

Borta share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.53
Expected goals
1.34
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 23%,Sturt Lions vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Över 2.5 74% · Current selection Över