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AUS Australien - South Australia Premier League · Spiel ·

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score3–1Croydon FCSturt Lions
Expected goals3.87Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 23% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1277.4%1.29
Über 74% · Unter 26%Goals 2.5Über74%1.35
Ja 68% · Nein 32%Beide Teams treffenJa68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSturt Lions winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Croydon FC win49%2.041.8548.3%+0.7 pp
Unentschieden23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Sturt Lions win28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Croydon FC2.53

Heim share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.87Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 74% · Unter 26%

Sturt Lions1.34

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nein 32%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Croydon FC

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sturt Lions

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
8
Points from supplied form
10
2.53
Expected goals
1.34
Croydon FCSturt Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Croydon FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturt Lions signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Croydon FC vs Sturt Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Croydon FC Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 23%,Sturt Lions Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Über 2.5 74% · Current selection Über