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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Limianos vs Chaves B

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst35%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score2–1LimianosChaves B
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 28% / 35%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbele Kans1271.9%1.39
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.95 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Limianos win37%2.70
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Chaves B win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Limianos1.51

Thuis share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Chaves B1.44

Uit share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Limianos

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Chaves B

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.51
Expected goals
1.44
LimianosChaves B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Limianos signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chaves B signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Limianos vs Chaves B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Limianos gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 28%,Chaves B gewonnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven