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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

A.D. Limianos. vs Chaves B

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–1Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score2–1A.D. Limianos.Chaves B
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 28% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Doble Oportunidad1271.9%1.39
Más de 57% · Menos de 43%Goals 2.5Más de57%1.75
Sí 60% · No 40%Ambos equipos marcan60%1.67
2.95 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
A.D. Limianos. win37%2.70
Empate28%3.57
Chaves B win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

A.D. Limianos.1.51

Local share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 57% · Menos de 43%

Chaves B1.44

Visitante share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

A.D. Limianos.

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chaves B

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.51
Expected goals
1.44
A.D. Limianos.Chaves B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01A.D. Limianos. signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chaves B signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

A.D. Limianos. vs Chaves B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

A.D. Limianos. ganada 37%,Empate 28%,Chaves B ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Más de 2.5 57% · Current selection Más de