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URY Uruguay - Reserve League · Final ·

Central Espanol - Reserves vs Penarol - Reserves

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 1–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst51%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Central Espanol - ReservesPenarol - Reserves
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 24% / 51%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dubbele Kans1276.2%1.31
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.34 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCentral Espanol - Reserves winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Central Espanol - Reserves win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Penarol - Reserves win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol - Reserves0.83

Thuis share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Penarol - Reserves1.51

Uit share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Central Espanol - Reserves

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Penarol - Reserves

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
51%
9
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
1.51
Central Espanol - ReservesPenarol - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol - Reserves signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol - Reserves signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Central Espanol - Reserves vs Penarol - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol - Reserves gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 24%,Penarol - Reserves gewonnen 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder