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URY Uruguay - Lega Riserve · Final ·

Central Espanol riserve vs Penarol riserve

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score0–1Pronostico 1–2
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite51%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Central Espanol riservePenarol riserve
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 24% / 51%Esito partitaVittoria ospite51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppia Chance1276.2%1.31
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCentral Espanol riserve winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Central Espanol riserve win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Penarol riserve win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol riserve0.83

Casa share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Penarol riserve1.51

Trasferta share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Central Espanol riserve

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Penarol riserve

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
51%
9
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
1.51
Central Espanol riservePenarol riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol riserve signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Central Espanol riserve vs Penarol riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol riserve vinta 25%,Pareggio 24%,Penarol riserve vinta 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto