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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Final ·

Central Espanol - Reserve vs Penarol - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg25%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg51%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Central Espanol - ReservePenarol - Reserve
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
25% / 24% / 51%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppelte Chance1276.2%1.31
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.34 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCentral Espanol - Reserve winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Central Espanol - Reserve win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Penarol - Reserve win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol - Reserve0.83

Heim share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

Penarol - Reserve1.51

Auswärts share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Central Espanol - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Penarol - Reserve

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
51%
9
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
1.51
Central Espanol - ReservePenarol - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol - Reserve signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Central Espanol - Reserve vs Penarol - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol - Reserve Gewinn 25%,Unentschieden 24%,Penarol - Reserve Gewinn 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter