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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Final ·

Central Espanol reserver vs Penarol reserver

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr51%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Central Espanol reserverPenarol reserver
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 24% / 51%KampresultatUdesejr51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dobbeltchance1276.2%1.31
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCentral Espanol reserver winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Central Espanol reserver win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Penarol reserver win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol reserver0.83

Hjemme share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Penarol reserver1.51

Ude share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Central Espanol reserver

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Penarol reserver

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
51%
9
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
1.51
Central Espanol reserverPenarol reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol reserver signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol reserver signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Central Espanol reserver vs Penarol reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol reserver vundet 25%,Uafgjort 24%,Penarol reserver vundet 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under