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URY Uruguay - Liga rezerwowa · Final ·

Central Espanol - Rezerwa vs Penarol - Rezerwa

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score0–1Prognoza 1–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości51%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 51% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości51% selection probability
Projected score1–2Central Espanol - RezerwaPenarol - Rezerwa
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 24% / 51%Wynik meczuWygrana gości51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Podwójna szansa1276.2%1.31
Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%Goals 2.5Poniżej58%1.72
Tak 45% · Nie 55%Obie drużyny strzeląNie55%1.82
2.34 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapCentral Espanol - Rezerwa winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Central Espanol - Rezerwa win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Remis24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Penarol - Rezerwa win51%1.961.7551%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol - Rezerwa0.83

Gospodarze share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%

Penarol - Rezerwa1.51

Goście share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Central Espanol - Rezerwa

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Penarol - Rezerwa

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
51%
9
Points from supplied form
5
0.83
Expected goals
1.51
Central Espanol - RezerwaPenarol - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol - Rezerwa signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Central Espanol - Rezerwa vs Penarol - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol - Rezerwa wygrana 25%,Remis 24%,Penarol - Rezerwa wygrana 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Powyżej 2.5 42% · Current selection Poniżej