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NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dubbele Kans1272.6%1.38
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.03 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden win39%2.562.5037.8%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4027.8%
Excelsior win34%2.942.7534.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

Excelsior1.43

Uit share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
13
1.60
Expected goals
1.43
SC Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Cambuur Leeuwarden signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excelsior signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 27%,Excelsior gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven