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NLD Niederlande - Eredivisie · Spiel ·

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg34%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 27% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Doppelte Chance1272.6%1.38
Über 58% · Unter 42%Goals 2.5Über58%1.72
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cambuur Leeuwarden win39%2.562.5037.8%
Unentschieden27%3.703.4027.8%
Excelsior win34%2.942.7534.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cambuur Leeuwarden1.60

Heim share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 58% · Unter 42%

Excelsior1.43

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
13
1.60
Expected goals
1.43
Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cambuur Leeuwarden signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excelsior signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cambuur Leeuwarden Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 27%,Excelsior Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Über 2.5 58% · Current selection Über