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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eredivisie · Partita ·

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite34%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 27% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Doppia Chance1272.6%1.38
Sopra 58% · Sotto 42%Goals 2.5Sopra58%1.72
Sì 62% · No 38%Entrambe le squadre segnano62%1.61
3.03 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cambuur Leeuwarden win39%2.562.5037.8%
Pareggio27%3.703.4027.8%
Excelsior win34%2.942.7534.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cambuur Leeuwarden1.60

Casa share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 58% · Sotto 42%

Excelsior1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 62% · No 38%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
13
1.60
Expected goals
1.43
Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cambuur Leeuwarden signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excelsior signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cambuur Leeuwarden vinta 39%,Pareggio 27%,Excelsior vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Sopra 2.5 58% · Current selection Sopra