Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 28% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Dubbele Kans1272.2%1.39
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 50.2%
Total expected goals2.39Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%
Uit share of expected goals 49.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchEstrella del Sur - Reserves
LLWWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCA Lugano - Reserves
WLLDL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%6
Points from supplied form
41.20
Expected goals
1.19Estrella del Sur - ReservesCA Lugano - Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Estrella del Sur - Reserves vs CA Lugano - Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estrella del Sur - Reserves gewonnen 36%，Gelijkspel 28%，CA Lugano - Reserves gewonnen 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.39 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder。