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ARG Argentine - Ligue des réserves · Final ·

Estrella del Sur - Réserves vs CA Lugano - Réserves

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur36%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur - RéservesCA Lugano - Réserves
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 28% / 36%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - Réserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Nul28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - Réserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur - Réserves1.20

Domicile share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

CA Lugano - Réserves1.19

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur - Réserves

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

CA Lugano - Réserves

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur - RéservesCA Lugano - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano - Réserves signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur - Réserves vs CA Lugano - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur - Réserves victoire 36%,Nul 28%,CA Lugano - Réserves victoire 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de