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ARG Argentina - Liga de Rezerve · Meci ·

Estrella del Sur - Rezerve vs CA Lugano - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estrella del Sur - RezerveCA Lugano - Rezerve
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 28% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Șansă dublă1272.2%1.39
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrella del Sur - Rezerve win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Egal28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp
CA Lugano - Rezerve win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrella del Sur - Rezerve1.20

Gazde share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

CA Lugano - Rezerve1.19

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur - Rezerve

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CA Lugano - Rezerve

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.19
Estrella del Sur - RezerveCA Lugano - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrella del Sur - Rezerve signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Lugano - Rezerve signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estrella del Sur - Rezerve vs CA Lugano - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrella del Sur - Rezerve câștig 36%,Egal 28%,CA Lugano - Rezerve câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub