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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–3Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 31% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (20.9%)Dubbele Kans1X79.1%1.26
Boven 32% · Onder 68%Goals 2.5Onder68%1.47
Ja 35% · Nee 65%Beide teams scorenNee65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Oliveira Hospital win48%2.08
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Benfica Castelo Branco win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oliveira Hospital1.38

Thuis share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 32% · Onder 68%

Benfica Castelo Branco0.62

Uit share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nee 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oliveira Hospital signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica Castelo Branco signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oliveira Hospital gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 31%,Benfica Castelo Branco gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Boven 2.5 32% · Current selection Onder