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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–3Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 31% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (20.9%)Doppia Chance1X79.1%1.26
Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%Goals 2.5Sotto68%1.47
Sì 35% · No 65%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Oliveira Hospital win48%2.08
Pareggio31%3.23
Benfica Castelo Branco win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oliveira Hospital1.38

Casa share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%

Benfica Castelo Branco0.62

Trasferta share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oliveira Hospital signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica Castelo Branco signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oliveira Hospital vinta 48%,Pareggio 31%,Benfica Castelo Branco vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Sopra 2.5 32% · Current selection Sotto