Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 31% / 21%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Oliveira Hospital win48%2.08
Draw31%3.23
Benfica Castelo Branco win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69%
Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 31%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchOliveira Hospital
LDWDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchBenfica Castelo Branco
LLWDD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
21%5
Points from supplied form
51.38
Expected goals
0.62Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Oliveira Hospital win 48%，Draw 31%，Benfica Castelo Branco win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.00 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。