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CHE Zwitserland - 1.Liga Promotion · Wedstrijd ·

Bavois vs FC Zurich II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1BavoisFC Zurich II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 23% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Dubbele Kans1276.9%1.30
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.53 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapBavois winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bavois win52%1.921.7551.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
FC Zurich II win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bavois1.77

Thuis share of expected goals 70%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

FC Zurich II0.76

Uit share of expected goals 30%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Bavois

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Zurich II

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
13
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
0.76
BavoisFC Zurich II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bavois signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zurich II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Bavois vs FC Zurich II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bavois gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 23%,FC Zurich II gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder