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CHE Schweiz - 1.Liga Promotion · Match ·

Bavois vs FC Zürich II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger57%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger57% selection probability
Projected score2–1BavoisFC Zürich II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
57% / 22% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zürich II win (21.3%)Dubbelchans1X78.7%1.27
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFC Zürich II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bavois win57%1.751.6056.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
FC Zürich II win21%4.764.1021.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bavois1.77

Hemma share of expected goals 70%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

FC Zürich II0.76

Borta share of expected goals 30%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bavois

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Zürich II

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
13
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
0.76
BavoisFC Zürich II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bavois signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zürich II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Bavois vs FC Zürich II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bavois vunnen 57%,Oavgjort 22%,FC Zürich II vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under