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CHE Швейцария - 1-я лига - Продвижение · Матч ·

Бавуа vs ФК Цюрих II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score2–1БавуаФК Цюрих II
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 23% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Двойной шанс1276.9%1.30
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.53 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapБавуа winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бавуа win52%1.921.7551.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
ФК Цюрих II win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бавуа1.77

Хозяева share of expected goals 70%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

ФК Цюрих II0.76

Гости share of expected goals 30%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бавуа

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Цюрих II

0.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
13
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
0.76
БавуаФК Цюрих II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бавуа signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Цюрих II signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Бавуа vs ФК Цюрих II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бавуа выигрыш 52%,Ничья 23%,ФК Цюрих II выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше