Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
71% / 20% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (9.6%)Dubbele Kans1X90.4%1.11
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.46 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapPonte Preta winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America MG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
Ponte Preta win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals2.46Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%
Uit share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAmerica MG
LLLLW
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchPonte Preta
LLDLD
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2
SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%3
Points from supplied form
21.72
Expected goals
0.74America MGPonte Preta
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
America MG vs Ponte Preta FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
America MG gewonnen 71%，Gelijkspel 20%，Ponte Preta gewonnen 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.46 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder。