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BRA Brazilië - Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

Fortaleza vs Operario PR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.29 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst20%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FortalezaOperario PR
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 29% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Operario PR win (20.2%)Dubbele Kans1X79.8%1.25
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
2.29 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Fortaleza win51%1.96
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Operario PR win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza1.61

Thuis share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Operario PR0.68

Uit share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Operario PR

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.61
Expected goals
0.68
FortalezaOperario PR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Operario PR signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Fortaleza vs Operario PR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 29%,Operario PR gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder