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BRA Brasile - Serie B · Partita ·

Fortaleza vs Operario PR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.29 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa51%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FortalezaOperario PR
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
51% / 29% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Operario PR win (20.2%)Doppia Chance1X79.8%1.25
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.29 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Fortaleza win51%1.96
Pareggio29%3.45
Operario PR win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza1.61

Casa share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

Operario PR0.68

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Operario PR

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.61
Expected goals
0.68
FortalezaOperario PR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Operario PR signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Fortaleza vs Operario PR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza vinta 51%,Pareggio 29%,Operario PR vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto