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BRA Brazil Serie B · Fixture ·

Fortaleza vs Operario PR

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw29%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FortalezaOperario PR
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 29% / 20%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Operario PR win (20.2%)Double chance1X79.8%1.25
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Fortaleza win51%1.96
Draw29%3.45
Operario PR win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza1.61

Home share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Operario PR0.68

Away share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Operario PR

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.61
Expected goals
0.68
FortalezaOperario PR
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Operario PR signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Fortaleza vs Operario PR FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza win 51%,Draw 29%,Operario PR win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under