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BRA Brasil - Série B · Partida ·

Fortaleza vs Operário Ferroviário FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.29 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa51%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante20%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FortalezaOperário Ferroviário FC
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
51% / 29% / 20%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Operário Ferroviário FC win (20.2%)Dupla Chance1X79.8%1.25
Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%Goals 2.5Abaixo60%1.67
Sim 40% · Não 60%Ambas as equipes marcamNão60%1.67
2.29 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Fortaleza win51%1.96
Empate29%3.45
Operário Ferroviário FC win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza1.61

Mandante share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%

Operário Ferroviário FC0.68

Visitante share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 40% · Não 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Operário Ferroviário FC

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
1
1.61
Expected goals
0.68
FortalezaOperário Ferroviário FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Operário Ferroviário FC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Fortaleza vs Operário Ferroviário FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza ganhou 51%,Empate 29%,Operário Ferroviário FC ganhou 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Acima 2.5 40% · Current selection Abaixo