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BRA 巴西乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

美利加 MG vs 龐特普雷塔

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝71%
20%
客勝10%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝71% selection probability
Projected score2–1美利加 MG龐特普雷塔
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
71% / 20% / 10%比賽結果主勝71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 龐特普雷塔 win (9.6%)雙重機會1X90.4%1.11
大 44% · 小 56%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 43% · 否 57%雙方進球57%1.75
2.46 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.4 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gap龐特普雷塔 winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
美利加 MG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
龐特普雷塔 win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

美利加 MG1.72

主隊 share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 44% · 56%

龐特普雷塔0.74

客隊 share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 43% · 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

美利加 MG

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

龐特普雷塔

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
贏 probability excluding draw
10%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.72
Expected goals
0.74
美利加 MG龐特普雷塔
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01美利加 MG signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02龐特普雷塔 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

美利加 MG vs 龐特普雷塔 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

美利加 MG 71%, 20%,龐特普雷塔 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · 大2.5 44% · Current selection