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BRA ブラジル セリエB · 試合 ·

アメリカMG vs ポンチプレッタ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利71%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利10%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利71% selection probability
Projected score2–1アメリカMGポンチプレッタ
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
71% / 20% / 10%試合結果ホーム勝利71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ポンチプレッタ win (9.6%)ダブルチャンス1X90.4%1.11
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.46 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapポンチプレッタ winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アメリカMG win71%1.411.2971.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け20%5.004.7519.4%+0.6 pp
ポンチプレッタ win10%10.0010.009.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アメリカMG1.72

ホーム share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

ポンチプレッタ0.74

アウェイ share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アメリカMG

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポンチプレッタ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
勝ち probability excluding draw
10%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.72
Expected goals
0.74
アメリカMGポンチプレッタ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アメリカMG signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポンチプレッタ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

アメリカMG vs ポンチプレッタ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アメリカMG 勝ち 71%,引き分け 20%,ポンチプレッタ 勝ち 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー