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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Wedstrijd ·

Alacranes de Durango vs Piratas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst29%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Alacranes de DurangoPiratas
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 29% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dubbele Kans1271.4%1.40
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alacranes de Durango win43%2.332.1541.9%
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029.1%
Piratas win29%3.453.1029.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alacranes de Durango1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Piratas1.21

Uit share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Alacranes de Durango

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Piratas

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.55
Expected goals
1.21
Alacranes de DurangoPiratas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alacranes de Durango signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piratas signalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Alacranes de Durango vs Piratas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alacranes de Durango gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 29%,Piratas gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven