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MOZ Mosambik - Mocambola · Final ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier46%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier27%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
46% / 27% / 27%KampresultatHjemmeseier46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviario de Nampula win (26.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X73.1%1.37
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Uavgjort27%3.70
Ferroviario de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Ferroviario de Nampula0.98

Borte share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poeng2

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Spilt4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Poeng5

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene vunnet 46%,Uavgjort 27%,Ferroviario de Nampula vunnet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under