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MOZ Mozambique - Moçambola · Final ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 27% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviario de Nampula win (26.9%)Double chance1X73.1%1.37
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Nul27%3.70
Ferroviario de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Domicile share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Ferroviario de Nampula0.98

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Joués4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene victoire 46%,Nul 27%,Ferroviario de Nampula victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de