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MOZ Mozambique Mocambola · Round 9 ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng46%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng27%
Baseline forecastChủ nhà thắngTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
46% / 27% / 27%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviario de Nampula win (26.9%)Cơ hội kép1X73.1%1.37
Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%Goals 2.5Xỉu58%1.72
Có 46% · Không 54%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Hòa27%3.70
Ferroviario de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%

Ferroviario de Nampula0.98

Khách share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · Không 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Số trận4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Điểm5

SignalKhông recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Thắng probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene thắng 46%,Hòa 27%,Ferroviario de Nampula thắng 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Tài 2.5 42% · Current selection Xỉu