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MOZ Mozambique - Mocambola · Round 9 ·

CD Maxaquene vs Clube Ferroviário de Nampula

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante27%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneClube Ferroviário de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 27% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Clube Ferroviário de Nampula win (26.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.1%1.37
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Empate27%3.70
Clube Ferroviário de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Local share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Clube Ferroviário de Nampula0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Clube Ferroviário de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Jugados4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Puntos5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneClube Ferroviário de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Clube Ferroviário de Nampula signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Clube Ferroviário de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene ganada 46%,Empate 27%,Clube Ferroviário de Nampula ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de