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EUR Europe Friendlies · Kamp ·

Monza vs Padova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier57%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier21%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier57% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.30Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
57% / 21% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (21.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.6%1.27
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nei 36%Begge lag scorerJa64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win57%1.751.5758.4%
Uavgjort21%4.764.3321.2%
Padova win21%4.764.5020.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.01

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.30Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Padova1.29

Borte share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nei 36%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Monza

1.00pts / match
Spilt4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Poeng4

SignalNei recent signal

Borte-context · form sequence

Padova

1.00pts / match
Spilt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Poeng3

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.29
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza vunnet 57%,Uavgjort 21%,Padova vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over