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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Monza vs Padova

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–3Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr57%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr21%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 57% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr57% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.30Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
57% / 21% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (21.4%)Dobbeltchance1X78.6%1.27
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win57%1.751.5758.4%
Uafgjort21%4.764.3321.2%
Padova win21%4.764.5020.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.01

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.30Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Padova1.29

Ude share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Monza

1.00pts / match
Spillet4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Point4

SignalNej recent signal

Ude-context · form sequence

Padova

1.00pts / match
Spillet3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Point3

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.29
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza vundet 57%,Uafgjort 21%,Padova vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over