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EUR Europe Friendlies · Meci ·

Monza vs Padova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde57%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde57% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.30Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
57% / 21% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (21.4%)Șansă dublă1X78.6%1.27
Peste 64% · Sub 36%Goals 2.5Peste64%1.56
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win57%1.751.5758.4%
Egal21%4.764.3321.2%
Padova win21%4.764.5020.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.01

Gazde share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.30Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 64% · Sub 36%

Padova1.29

Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Monza

1.00pts / match
Jucate4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Puncte4

SignalNu recent signal

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Padova

1.00pts / match
Jucate3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Puncte3

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.29
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza câștig 57%,Egal 21%,Padova câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Peste 2.5 64% · Current selection Peste