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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Монца vs Падуя

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей21%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1МонцаПадуя
Expected goals3.30Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 21% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Падуя win (21.4%)Двойной шанс1X78.6%1.27
Больше 64% · Меньше 36%Goals 2.5Больше64%1.56
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Монца win57%1.751.5758.4%
Ничья21%4.764.3321.2%
Падуя win21%4.764.5020.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монца2.01

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.30Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 64% · Меньше 36%

Падуя1.29

Гости share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монца

1.00pts / match
Сыграно4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Баллы4

SignalНет recent signal

Гости-context · form sequence

Падуя

1.00pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Баллы3

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.29
МонцаПадуя
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монца signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Падуя signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Монца vs Падуя FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монца выигрыш 57%,Ничья 21%,Падуя выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · ТБ 2.5 64% · Current selection Больше