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EUR Europe Friendlies · Mecz ·

Monza vs Padova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy57%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości21%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy57% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.30Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej64% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
57% / 21% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (21.4%)Podwójna szansa1X78.6%1.27
Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%Goals 2.5Powyżej64%1.56
Tak 64% · Nie 36%Obie drużyny strzeląTak64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win57%1.751.5758.4%
Remis21%4.764.3321.2%
Padova win21%4.764.5020.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.01

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.30Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%

Padova1.29

Goście share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Monza

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Punkty4

SignalNie recent signal

Goście-context · form sequence

Padova

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkty3

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
1.29
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza wygrana 57%,Remis 21%,Padova wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Powyżej 2.5 64% · Current selection Powyżej