Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 21% / 58%Match resultAway win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Double chance1279.1%1.26
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax (W) win22%4.554.7519%—
Draw21%4.764.5020%—
Real Madrid (W) win58%1.721.4861%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 41.9%
Total expected goals3.10Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 58.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchAjax (W)
WWWDW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchReal Madrid (W)
WLWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
22%
Win probability excluding draw
58%13
Points from supplied form
121.30
Expected goals
1.80Ajax (W)Real Madrid (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Ajax (W) vs Real Madrid (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ajax (W) win 22%，Draw 21%，Real Madrid (W) win 58%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。