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INT UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying · Fixture ·

PSV (W) vs HB Køge (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw23%
Away win27%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1PSV (W)HB Køge (W)
Expected goals3.15Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 23% / 27%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.15 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV (W) win50%2.001.8049.5%
Draw23%4.353.8023.5%
HB Køge (W) win27%3.703.3027%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV (W)1.85

Home share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.15Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

HB Køge (W)1.30

Away share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

PSV (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

HB Køge (W)

3.00pts / match
Played4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
12
1.85
Expected goals
1.30
PSV (W)HB Køge (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HB Køge (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

PSV (W) vs HB Køge (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV (W) win 50%,Draw 23%,HB Køge (W) win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over