Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 16% / 13%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad (W) win (13.1%)Double chance1X86.9%1.15
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.26 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chelsea (W) win70%1.431.2572.3%—
Draw16%6.255.7515.7%—
Real Sociedad (W) win13%7.697.5012%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.1%
Total expected goals3.26Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%
Away share of expected goals 31.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchChelsea (W)
WW
Played2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 2/2
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchReal Sociedad (W)
DDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
70%
Win probability excluding draw
13%6
Points from supplied form
52.22
Expected goals
1.04Chelsea (W)Real Sociedad (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Chelsea (W) vs Real Sociedad (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chelsea (W) win 70%，Draw 16%，Real Sociedad (W) win 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.26 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over。