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INT UEFA Women's Champions League - Kwalificatie · Wedstrijd ·

Chelsea (D) vs Real Sociedad (D)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst71%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst13%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 71% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst71% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chelsea (D)Real Sociedad (D)
Expected goals3.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
71% / 16% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Sociedad (D) win (13.2%)Dubbele Kans1X86.8%1.15
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chelsea (D) win71%1.411.2572.7%
Gelijkspel16%6.256.0015.2%
Real Sociedad (D) win13%7.697.5012.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chelsea (D)2.22

Thuis share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals3.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

Real Sociedad (D)1.03

Uit share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Chelsea (D)

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad (D)

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.22
Expected goals
1.03
Chelsea (D)Real Sociedad (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chelsea (D) signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Sociedad (D) signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Chelsea (D) vs Real Sociedad (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chelsea (D) gewonnen 71%,Gelijkspel 16%,Real Sociedad (D) gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven