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INT UEFA Women's Champions League - Kval · Match ·

Ajax (D) vs Real Madrid (D)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger58%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 58% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger58% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ajax (D)Real Madrid (D)
Expected goals3.10Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 21% / 58%MatchresultatBortaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Dubbelchans1279.1%1.26
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Båda lagen gör målJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax (D) win22%4.554.7519%
Oavgjort21%4.764.5020%
Real Madrid (D) win58%1.721.4861%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax (D)1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 41.9%

Total expected goals3.10Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

Real Madrid (D)1.80

Borta share of expected goals 58.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ajax (D)

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Real Madrid (D)

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.30
Expected goals
1.80
Ajax (D)Real Madrid (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax (D) signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Madrid (D) signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Ajax (D) vs Real Madrid (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax (D) vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 21%,Real Madrid (D) vunnen 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över