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INT UEFA Women's Champions League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

Ajax (F) vs Real Madrid (F)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.09 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg19%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg61%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ajax (F)Real Madrid (F)
Expected goals3.09Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
19% / 20% / 61%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax (F) win (18.9%)Doppelte ChanceX281.1%1.23
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax (F) win19%5.265.5016.3%
Unentschieden20%5.004.7518.8%
Real Madrid (F) win61%1.641.3864.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax (F)1.24

Heim share of expected goals 40.1%

Total expected goals3.09Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Real Madrid (F)1.85

Auswärts share of expected goals 59.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ajax (F)

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Real Madrid (F)

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
61%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.24
Expected goals
1.85
Ajax (F)Real Madrid (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax (F) signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Madrid (F) signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ajax (F) vs Real Madrid (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax (F) Gewinn 19%,Unentschieden 20%,Real Madrid (F) Gewinn 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über