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INT UEFA Women's Champions League - Kwalifikacje · Mecz ·

Ajax (K) vs Real Madryt (K)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.09 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy19%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości61%
Market-based forecastWygrana gościTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ajax (K)Real Madryt (K)
Expected goals3.09Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
19% / 20% / 61%Wynik meczuWygrana gości61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ajax (K) win (18.9%)Podwójna szansaX281.1%1.23
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ajax (K) win19%5.265.5016.3%
Remis20%5.004.7518.8%
Real Madryt (K) win61%1.641.3864.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ajax (K)1.24

Gospodarze share of expected goals 40.1%

Total expected goals3.09Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

Real Madryt (K)1.85

Goście share of expected goals 59.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Ajax (K)

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Real Madryt (K)

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
61%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.24
Expected goals
1.85
Ajax (K)Real Madryt (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ajax (K) signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Madryt (K) signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ajax (K) vs Real Madryt (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ajax (K) wygrana 19%,Remis 20%,Real Madryt (K) wygrana 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej