Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 18% / 14%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (14.4%)Double chance1X85.6%1.17
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapLePa winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win68%1.471.3367.6%+0.4 pp
Draw18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
MPS win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.8%
Total expected goals3.18Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 29.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchLePa
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchMPS
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Win probability excluding draw
14%15
Points from supplied form
12.25
Expected goals
0.93LePaMPS
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
LePa vs MPS FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
LePa win 68%，Draw 18%，MPS win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。